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Enfors, Elin I; Natural Resources Management, Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, Sweden; elin@ecology.su.se; Gordon, Line J; Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm University, Sweden; Natural Resources Management, Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, Sweden; line@stockholmresilience.su.se; Peterson, Garry D; Department of Geography and McGill School of Environment, McGill University, Canada; Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm University, Sweden; garry.peterson@mcgill.ca; Bossio, Deborah; International Water Management Institute (IWMI), Sri Lanka; d.bossio@iwmi.cgiar.org. |
The agro-ecosystems of semi-arid and dry sub-humid SSA are inherently dynamic. At this point in time they are also experiencing a series of complex social–ecological changes that make their future even more uncertain. To ensure that development investments made today in the small-scale farming systems that dominate these regions make sense also in a long-term perspective they should benefit the local communities over a range of potential futures. We applied a participatory scenario planning approach to a smallholder farming community in semi-arid Tanzania, exploring four alternative development trajectories for the area, to increase the robustness of current investments in small-scale water system technologies. We found that water system... |
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Dryland regions; Future; Investments; Participatory scenario planning; Small-scale farming; Sub-Saharan Africa; Uncertainty; Water system technologies. |
Ano: 2008 |
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Plieninger, Tobias; Ecosystem Services Research Group, Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Sciences and Humanities; Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen; tobias.plieninger@life.ku.dk; Bieling, Claudia; Chair for Landscape Management, University of Freiburg; claudia.bieling@landespflege.uni-freiburg.de; Ohnesorge, Bettina; Ecosystem Services Research Group, Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Sciences and Humanities; ohnesorge@bbaw.de; Schaich, Harald; Chair for Landscape Management, University of Freiburg; harald.schaich@landespflege.uni-freiburg.de; Schleyer, Christian; Ecosystem Services Research Group, Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Sciences and Humanities; Department of Environmental Politics, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ; christian.schleyer@ufz.de. |
Cultural landscapes are appreciated for the plethora of ecosystem services that they provide to society. They are, however, subject to rapid and fundamental transformations across Europe, mainly as a result of intensification or abandonment of land uses. Our objective is to assess the possible future drivers of cultural landscape changes and their likely impacts on ecosystem services provision as perceived by local actors. We present stakeholder-based scenarios for the Swabian Alb, a biosphere reserve in southern Germany, projected to the yr 2040. On their basis, we explore the possibilities and limitations of local civil engagement for landscape conservation and development in the face of increasing global influences. The steps of the process are (a)... |
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Ecosystem services: landscape development; Participatory scenario planning; Germany; Multifunctional landscapes; Regional development; Quality of life; Rural areas. |
Ano: 2013 |
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