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| Seppelt, Ralf; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department Computational Landscape Ecology, Germany; iDiv - German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research, Germany; Institute of Geoscience & Geography, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Germany; ralf.seppelt@ufz.de; Manceur, Ameur M.; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department Computational Landscape Ecology, Germany; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department Community Ecology, Germany; ameur.manceur@ufz.de; Liu, Jianguo; Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, Michigan State University, USA; liuji@msu.edu; Fenichel, Eli P.; Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, USA; eli.fenichel@yale.edu; Klotz, Stefan; iDiv - German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research, Germany; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department Community Ecology, Germany ; Stefan.Klotz@ufz.de. |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed article |
Palavras-chave: Limits to growth; Peak-rate year; Synchrony. |
| Ano: 2015 |
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| Seppelt, Ralf; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department Computational Landscape Ecology; iDiv - German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research; Institute of Geoscience & Geography, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany; ralf.seppelt@ufz.de; Manceur, Ameur M.; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department Computational Landscape Ecology; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department Community Ecology; ameur.manceur@ufz.de; Liu, Jianguo; Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, Michigan State University; liuji@msu.edu; Fenichel, Eli P.; Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University; eli.fenichel@yale.edu; Klotz, Stefan; UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Community Ecology; iDiv - German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research; Stefan.Klotz@ufz.de. |
| Many separate studies have estimated the year of peak, or maximum, rate of using an individual resource such as oil. However, no study has estimated the year of peak rate for multiple resources and investigated the relationships among them. We exploit time series on the appropriation of 27 global renewable and nonrenewable resources. We found 21 resources experienced a peak-rate year, and for 20 resources the peak-rate years occurred between 1960-2010, a narrow time window in the long human history. Whereas 4 of 7 nonrenewable resources show no peak-rate year, conversion to cropland and 18 of the 20 renewable resources have passed their peak rate of appropriation. To test the hypothesis that peak-rate years are synchronized, i.e., occur at approximately... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Limits to growth; Peak-rate year; Synchrony. |
| Ano: 2014 |
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