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Spatial forecasting of red palm mite in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios PAB
Navia,Denise; Hamada,Emília; Gondim Jr.,Manoel Guedes Correa; Benito,Norton Polo.
Abstract: The objective of this work was to predict the spatial distribution of the red palm mite, Raoiella indica (Acari: Tenuipalpidae), in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios. A mapping method of species distribution based on the geographic information system (GIS) was used. The maps were constructed taking into account ranges of favorability for temperature and relative humidity. Favorability levels were defined considering the available information on pest biology and population dynamics. To characterize the current climatic conditions, information was referenced to the climate normal from 1961 to 1990. Future scenarios for the models were the A2 and B1 gas emission scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Raoiella indica; Coconut; Invasive pest; Pest management; Pest risk analysis; Species distribution mapping..
Ano: 2016 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2016000500586
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Optimal Control of Spreading Biological Invasions: For How Long Should We Apply the Brake? AgEcon
Carrasco, Luis Roman; MacLeod, Alan; Knight, John D.; Baker, Richard; Mumford, John D..
Identifying the optimal switching point between different invasive alien species (IAS) management policies is a very complex task and policy makers are in need of modelling tools to assist them. In this paper we develop an optimal control bioeconomic model to estimate the type of optimal policy and switching point of control efforts against a spreading IAS. We apply the models to the case study of Colorado potato beetle in the UK. The results demonstrate that eradication is optimal for small initial sizes of invasion at discovery. High capacity of the agency to reduce spread velocity for several years leads to smaller total overall costs of invasion and makes eradication optimal for larger sizes of initial invasion. In many cases, it is optimal to switch...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Barrier zone; Biosecurity; Dynamic optimization; Eradication; Leptinotarsa decemlineata; Pest risk analysis; Reaction-diffusion.; Risk and Uncertainty; Q1; Q28; Q57.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50940
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