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	Provedor de dados AgEcon (1) REA (1) Autor Andrade,Camilo L. T. (1) Borges Júnior,João C. F. (1) Cloete, Philip C. (1) Ferreira,Paulo A. (1) Grove, Bennie (1) Hedden-Dunkhorst,Bettina (1) Taljaard, Pieter R. (1) Mais... Palavra-chave Risk simulation (2) Agricultural Finance (1) Farm Management (1) Financial feasibility (1) Game ranching (1) Irrigation requirement (1) Livestock Production/Industries (1) Monte Carlo method (1) Profitability (1) Mais... Tipo do documento Info:eu-repo/semantics/article (1) Journal Article (1) Ano 2008 (1) 2007 (1) País Brazil (1) United States (1) Idioma Inglês (2)		Ordenar por:  Relevância Autor Título Ano Registros recuperados: 2 Primeira ... 1 ... Última Computational modeling for irrigated agriculture planning. Part II: risk analysis REA Borges Júnior,João C. F.; Ferreira,Paulo A.; Andrade,Camilo L. T.; Hedden-Dunkhorst,Bettina. Techniques of evaluation of risks coming from inherent uncertainties to the agricultural activity should accompany planning studies. The risk analysis should be carried out by risk simulation using techniques as the Monte Carlo method. This study was carried out to develop a computer program so-called P-RISCO for the application of risky simulations on linear programming models, to apply to a case study, as well to test the results comparatively to the @RISK program. In the risk analysis it was observed that the average of the output variable total net present value, U, was considerably lower than the maximum U value obtained from the linear programming model. It was also verified that the enterprise will be front to expressive risk of shortage of water in... Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Risk simulation; Monte Carlo method; Irrigation requirement. Ano: 2008 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-69162008000300009 A Stochastic Budgeting Analysis of Three Alternative Scenarios to Convert from Beef-Cattle Farming to Game Ranching AgEcon Grove, Bennie; Taljaard, Pieter R.; Cloete, Philip C.. The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the profitability and financial feasibility of three alternative scenarios to convert from beef-cattle farming to game ranching. The analyses acknowledge the importance of quantifying the probability of failure or success when making investment decisions. Risk is incorporated into a standard net present value analysis using risk simulation. De-trended historical auction prices of live game and on-the-hoof prices of weaner cattle were used to quantify price variability. The stochastic net present value analyses indicate that game ranching is more profitable than cattle farming. Although an investment in a limited number of common game species is financially feasible, the cash flow analysis indicates a... Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Game ranching; Profitability; Financial feasibility; Risk simulation; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management; Livestock Production/Industries. Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7048 Registros recuperados: 2 Primeira ... 1 ... Última

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