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Oceanic Indices for Forecasting Seasonal Rainfall over the Northern Part of Brazilian Northeast ArchiMer
Hounsou-gbo, Gbèkpo Aubains; Servain, Jacques; Araujo, Moacyr; Martins, Eduardo Sávio; Bourlès, Bernard; Caniaux, Guy.
A relationship between oceanic conditions in the northwestern equatorial Atlantic (NWEA) and the seasonal rainfall over the northern part of Brazilian Northeast (NNEB) allows large climate events to be forecasted with a delay of a few months. Observed sea surface variables (sea surface temperature, wind stress and latent heat flux) and reanalyzed temperature and salinity profiles at depths of 0 - 150 m are used during 1974-2008. Perturbations in the Wind-Evaporation-SST mechanism over the NWEA during the last months of the year and the first months of the following year are of primary importance in evaluating the risk that strong climate events will affect the subsequent seasonal rainfall (in March-April) over the NNEB. Especially interesting are the...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Brazilian Northeast; Seasonal Rainfall; Barrier Layer Thickness; Oceanic Heat Content.
Ano: 2016 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00621/73326/72493.pdf
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