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What Drives Commodity Prices More: Oil Demand or Supply Shocks? AgEcon
Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M.; Pan, Suwen; Hudson, Darren.
This paper shows that the response of agricultural commodity prices in the U.S. related to fluctuations in oil prices in the international market may differ greatly depending on whether the increase is driven by demand or supply shocks in the crude oil market. In the long-run, around 2-7 percent of the variability in grains, oilseeds, and cotton prices can be attributed to shocks to aggregate demand for industrial commodities while none can be traced to oil supply shocks. This paper improves on the lack of economic structure in VAR models employed so far, and on the issue of short datasets, contributes to the nascent empirical evidence, and identifies the transmission of different types of oil price shocks to movements in agricultural prices in a SVAR...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cotton; Wheat; Corn; Soybeans; Crude oil; Oil price shocks; Demand shocks; Supply shocks; Structural vector autoregression (SVAR); Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q41.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61070
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Response of Cotton to Oil Price Shocks AgEcon
Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M.; Pan, Suwen; Hudson, Darren.
This paper shows that the response of cotton prices in the U.S. to fluctuations in oil prices in the international market may differ greatly depending on whether the increase is driven by demand or supply shocks in the crude oil market. In the long-run, around 3 percent of the variability in cotton prices can be attributed to shocks to global demand for industrial commodities while none can be traced to oil supply shocks.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cotton; Oil price; Demand shocks; Supply shocks; Structural vector autoregression (SVAR); Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q41.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56425
Registros recuperados: 2
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