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Brosig, Stephan; Yakhshilikov, Yorbol. |
Reliable marketing opportunities in both interregional and international trade along with relatively low transportation [and transaction] costs are essential to profitability of wheat production. In this study we have investigated one aspect of the quality of marketing and trade opportunities in the Kazakh wheat sector, that is the extent and nature of integration among regional wheat markets. We applied threshold cointegration technique to assess the co-movement between time series of elevator prices at three grain-trading (and producing) spots in the northern and central parts of the country. Results suggest that markets of two northern grain trading spots (Petropavlovsk and Kokshetau) are closely connected with each other while their connection with... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Kazakhstan; Price transmission; Market integration; Threshold cointegration; Crop Production/Industries; Marketing; C22; Q13. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14921 |
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Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan; Falkowski, Jan; Ferto, Imre. |
In this paper we test the retail milk price integration between two countries, Poland and Hungary. Conventional linear cointegration methods do not reveal any relationship between the two prices, therefore we apply Gonzalo and Pitakaris (2006) method to test the linear cointegration null against the threshold cointegration with an exogenous threshold variable alternative hypothesis. Our results show, that the Hungarian Forint – Polish Zloty exchange rate is econometrically an appropriate threshold variable, the linearity null is rejected, and the two alternative regimes may be characterised with different long-run equilibrium relationships. Corresponding trade data however questions the economic appropriateness of the selected threshold variable. Further... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Horizontal integration; Milk market; Threshold cointegration; Food Security and Poverty. |
Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91809 |
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Ben Kaabia, Monia; Gil Roig, Jose Maria. |
RESUMEN: El objetivo de este trabajo consiste en analizar el proceso de transmisión de precios a lo largo de la cadena comercial en el sector del tomate en España. Para ello se han considerado el precio percibido por el productor y el pagado por el consumidor. El enfoque metodológico adoptado se basa en la estimación de un Vector de Corrección del Error con umbrales. Los resultados indican que, a largo plazo, los dos precios son homogéneos. Sin embargo, en el corto plazo las reacciones de precios, tanto en velocidad como en magnitud, son asimétricas. Es más, los resultados indican que los detallistas se benefician (en el sentido de que son capaces de aumentar el margen comercial) de cualquier shock, ya sea positivo o negativo, que afecte tanto a las... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Asimetrías; Cointegración por umbrales; Precios; Tomate; Threshold cointegration; Prices; Tomato; Asymmetries; Demand and Price Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C32; Q13. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37189 |
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Goetz, Linde; von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan. |
We propose a three-step procedure to estimate a regime-dependent vector error correction model (VECM). In this model, not only the short-run adjustment process towards equilibrium is non-linear, as in threshold VECM and Markov switching VECM frameworks, but the long-run equilibrium relationship itself can also display threshold-type non-linearity. The proposed approach is unique in explicitly testing the null hypothesis of linear cointegration against the alternative of threshold cointegration based on the Gonzalo AND PITARAKIS (2006) test. The model is applied to apple price data on wholesale markets in Hamburg and Munich, using the share of domestic apples in total wholesale trade as the threshold variable. We identify four price transmission regimes... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Threshold cointegration; Spatial price transmission; Vector error correction model; Marketing. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44247 |
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