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Enfors, Elin I; Natural Resources Management, Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, Sweden; elin@ecology.su.se; Gordon, Line J; Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm University, Sweden; Natural Resources Management, Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, Sweden; line@stockholmresilience.su.se; Peterson, Garry D; Department of Geography and McGill School of Environment, McGill University, Canada; Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm University, Sweden; garry.peterson@mcgill.ca; Bossio, Deborah; International Water Management Institute (IWMI), Sri Lanka; d.bossio@iwmi.cgiar.org. |
The agro-ecosystems of semi-arid and dry sub-humid SSA are inherently dynamic. At this point in time they are also experiencing a series of complex social–ecological changes that make their future even more uncertain. To ensure that development investments made today in the small-scale farming systems that dominate these regions make sense also in a long-term perspective they should benefit the local communities over a range of potential futures. We applied a participatory scenario planning approach to a smallholder farming community in semi-arid Tanzania, exploring four alternative development trajectories for the area, to increase the robustness of current investments in small-scale water system technologies. We found that water system... |
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Dryland regions; Future; Investments; Participatory scenario planning; Small-scale farming; Sub-Saharan Africa; Uncertainty; Water system technologies. |
Ano: 2008 |
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