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Spatio-temporal Risk and Severity Analysis of Soybean Rust in the United States AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton; Goodwin, Barry K.; Piggott, Nicholas E..
Soybean rust is a highly mobile infectious disease and can be transmitted across short and long distances. Soybean rust is estimated to cause yield losses that can range between 1%-25%. An analysis of spatio-temporal infection risks within the United States is performed through the use of a unique data set. Observations from over 35,000 field-level inspections between 2005 and 2007 are used to conduct a county-level analysis. Statistical inferences are derived by employing zero-inflated Poisson and negative binomial models. In addition, the model is adjusted to account for potential endogeneity between inspections and soybean rust finds. Past soybean rust finds and inspections in the county and in the surrounding counties, weather and overwintering...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Insurance contracts; Risk analysis; Soybean rust; Zero-inflated model; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46564
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