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Registros recuperados: 39
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AGRICULTURAL ECONOMISTS' EFFECTIVENESS IN REPORTING AND CONVEYING RESEARCH PROCEDURES AND RESULTS AgEcon
Parcell, Joseph L.; Kastens, Terry L.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Schroeder, Ted C..
This study reviews articles using regression analysis published in the Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics from 1994 to 1998 to determine agricultural economists' effectiveness in reporting and conveying research procedures and results. Based on the authors' experience of surveying articles for this study, several suggestions for reporting of results and how to better separate statistical from economic significance are offered. First, clearly define the dependent variable- preferably in the results table as well as within the text. Second, report parameter estimates in an interpretable form either in the results table or in a subsequent table. Third, report summary statistics. Fourth, report degrees of freedom conspicuously in the results table....
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31306
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Could Packers Manipulate Cash Markets by Linking Contract and Futures Prices? AgEcon
Xia, Tian; Crespi, John M.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61634
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Cross-Hedging Distillers Dried Grains: Exploring Corn and Soybean Meal Futures Contracts AgEcon
Brinker, Adam J.; Parcell, Joseph L.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C..
Ethanol mandates and high fuel prices have led to an increase in the number of ethanol plants in the U.S. in recent years. In turn, this has led to an increase in the production of distillers dried grains (DDGs) as a co-product of ethanol production. DDG production in 2006 is estimated to be near 11 million tons. A sharp increase in ethanol production and thus DDGs is expected in 2007 with an increase with the number of ethanol plants. As with most competitive industries, there is some level of price risk in handling DDGs and no futures contract available for this co-product. Ethanol plants, as well as users of DDGs, may find cross-hedging DDGs with corn or soybean meal (SBM) futures as an effective means of managing risk. Traditionally, DDGs are hedged...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37567
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Cross-Hedging Distillers Dried Grains Using Corn and Soybean Meal Futures Contracts AgEcon
Brinker, Adam J.; Parcell, Joseph L.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Franken, Jason R.V..
Ethanol mandates have led to an increase in the production of distillers dried grains (DDGs), a co-product of ethanol production that is incorporated into livestock rations. As with most competitive industries, there is some level of price risk in handling DDGs, and there is no DDG futures contract available for managing price risk. Commonly, DDGs are hedged using only corn futures. Our results suggest that cross-hedge risk may be reduced by including soybean meal futures in an encompassing cross-hedge strategy. Further, we also conclude soybean meal futures currently may be slightly more effective at reducing risk than in the past.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cross-hedge; Distillers dried grains; Ethanol; Price risk; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90654
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DETERMINANTS OF FEEDER CATTLE PRICE-WEIGHT SLIDES AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Schroeder, Ted C..
Feeder cattle price-weight slides are analyzed using transactions data on 46,123 pens of feeder cattle over a 10-year period. Fed cattle futures prices and corn prices are important determinants of price-weight slides. Cattle producers can use this information when making sell timing decision, purchase decisions, and managing production.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35679
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DETERMINANTS OF PUREBRED BEEF BULL PRICE DIFFERENTIALS AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Simms, Danny D.; Bolze, Ronald P., Jr.; Geske, Jeremy.
Bulls are an important investment for commercial beef cattle producers since, over time, bulls introduce most of the new genetic attributes into typical beef cow herds. Therefore, heritable bull traits determine bull prices. Bulls possess a large number of traits to consider in pricing. In recent years, new measures of both qualities have been introduced in the form of expected progeny differences (EPDs). This study estimates market values associated with specific bull attributes, recently introduced EPDs, and bull sale marketing efforts. Important bull price determinants include bull color, polled, conformation, muscling, disposition, age, birth weight, weaning weight, milk EPD, birth and weaning weight EPDs, sale location, order bull was sold, whether...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31030
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Determinants of Return on Equity in U.S. Local Farm Supply and Grain Marketing Cooperatives AgEcon
Boyd, Scott; Boland, Michael A.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Barton, David G..
Farm supply cooperatives are an important component of the retail agribusiness industry in the United States. The objective of this research is to identify financial variables that are determinants of return on equity in these cooperatives. Firm effects are important and their effect is the result of managerial decision making and director policy. The estimated coefficient on asset size was not statistically significant, suggesting that return on equity is invariant to size over this period.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Cooperatives; Finance; Management; Profitability; Agribusiness; Marketing; Q13; Q14.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6608
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Estimating the Economic Value of Specific Characteristics Associated with Angus Bulls Sold at Auction AgEcon
Jones, Rodney D.; Turner, Tyler; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Marsh, Thomas L..
The genetic traits of a purebred bull convey the reproductive and economic value to buyers. This study examines and compares the value of actual production weights (birth, weaning, and yearling weight), production expected progeny differences (EPDs) (birth, weaning, milk, and yearling), and ultrasound EPDs (carcass quality predictors) for purebred Angus bulls sold at auction. One EPD, birth weight, was valued by buyers more than its corresponding actual weight, though both actual weights and EPDs significantly impact price. Predictors of carcass quality were important in determining price. Finally, several individual animal factors and sale characteristics were significant in determining price.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Angus bulls; Carcass characteristics; EPDs; Marketing factors; Production factors; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries; Q10; Q12.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/45528
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ESTIMATING THE ECONOMIC VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH EPDS FOR ANGUS BULLS AT AUCTION AgEcon
Turner, Tyler; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Marsh, Thomas L.; Jones, Rodney D..
The genetic traits that an Angus bull possesses convey the reproductive and economic value of the animal to potential buyers. This paper examines and draws comparisons between the value of actual production weights and production EPDs, while also establishing values for ultrasound EPDs. Results indicate that only one EPD, birth weight, was valued by buyers more than its corresponding actual weight, though actual weights and EPDs significantly impacted price. Ultrasound EPDs were also found to be significant, suggesting buyers of Angus bulls consider carcass information when purchasing bulls.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Angus Bulls; Birth Weight; Carcass; EPDs; Hedonic Model; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36193
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FACTORS AFFECTING LIVE CATTLE BASIS AgEcon
Parcell, Joseph L.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C..
Cattle producers and beef packers need to understand basis determinants as they develop price expectations and make pricing, hedging, and forward contracting decisions. This study empirically estimated factors explaining variability in monthly fed cattle basis. The five main results regarding live cattle basis are 1) corn price is an important determinant, 2) a change in the value of the Choice-to-Select spread positively affects basis, 3) changes in the levels of captive supplies have no significant statistical or economic impact on basis 4) the June 1995 live cattle futures contract did not impact basis, and 5) both market fundamentals and seasonal components are important basis determinants.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Basis; Fed cattle; Cattle prices; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15319
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FACTORS INFLUENCING OPTIMAL STOCKING RATES FROM A TENANT PERSPECTIVE AgEcon
May, Gary J.; Jones, Rodney D.; Langemeier, Michael R.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C..
The terms of grazing lease contracts potentially influence the tenant’s incentive to preserve the vegetation resource. Annual stocking rate decisions dictate the degree of overgrazing, which can be cumulative over long periods of time. The objective of this study is to identify the impact the tenant’s planning horizon and cost structure specified in the lease contract has on his/her profit-maximizing stocking rate. A multi-period nonlinear programming model was developed to identify economically optimal stocking rates each year over a 24-year period. The model was solved under 1-, 4-, 8-, and 12-year leases on a “per acre” and “per head” basis. The relative importance of each lease alternative and input variable on the tenant’s optimal stocking rate was...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16632
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Forecasting and Hedging Crop Input Prices AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Albright, Martin L.; Parcell, Joseph L..
Replaced with edited version of paper 12/23/08.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farm Management.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18951
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Forecasting Crop Basis Using Historical Averages Supplemented with Current Market Information AgEcon
Taylor, Mykel R.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Kastens, Terry L..
This research compares practical methods of forecasting basis, using current market information for wheat, soybeans, corn, and milo (grain sorghum) in Kansas. Though generally not statistically superior, an historical one-year average was optimal for corn, milo, and soybean harvest and post-harvest basis forecasts. A one-year average was also best for wheat post-harvest basis forecasts, whereas a five-year average was the best method for forecasting wheat harvest basis. Incorporating current market information, defined as basis deviation from historical average, improved the accuracy of post-harvest basis forecasts. A naive forecast incorporating current information was often the most accurate for post-harvest basis forecasts.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Basis forecast; Crop basis; Current information; Naive forecast; Marketing.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8625
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FORMULA-DERIVED VERSUS OBSERVED MARKET PRICES: AN APPLICATION FOR SEGREGATED EARLY WEANED PIGS AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C..
A formula (the "K-State formula") for deriving the price of segregated early weaned (SEW) pigs using corn, soybean meal, and market hog prices was estimated based on equating return on investment for the different phases of swine production – farrow, nursery, and finish. USDA reported SEW pig prices were compared with prices derived from the K-State formula and several other common formulas. Based on root mean squared error and mean absolute error accuracy measures, the K-State formula did a better job of predicting spot-market prices than the other formulas. In terms of the K-State formula accurately predicting spot market prices, producers appear to form price expectations based on futures plus expected basis more so than simply futures prices or...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36145
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Improving Cattle Basis Forecasting AgEcon
Tonsor, Glynn T.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Mintert, James R..
Successful risk management strategies for agribusiness firms based on futures and options contracts are contingent on their ability to accurately forecast basis. This research addresses three primary questions as they relate to basis forecasting accuracy: (a) What is the impact of adopting a time-to-expiration approach, as compared to the more common calendar-date approach? (b) What is the optimal number of years to include in calculations when forecasting livestock basis using historical averages? and (c) What is the effect of incorporating current basis information into a historical-average-based forecast? Results indicate that use of the time-to-expiration approach has little impact on forecast accuracy compared to using a simple calendar approach, but...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Basis; Basis forecasts; Cattle prices; Current information; Hedging; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31115
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Improving Feeder Cattle Basis Forecasts AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Swanser, Kole; Kastens, Terry L.; Mintert, James R.; Crosby, Brett.
Forecasting feeder cattle basis has long been difficult because of the myriad factors that influence basis, including input and output prices and lot characteristics. This research draws upon knowledge of the various factors that influence cash feeder cattle prices to develop hedonic feeder cattle basis models. Out-of-sample test results provide strong evidence that these hedonic models predict basis more accurately than the multi-year average forecasting approach commonly used by livestock producers. Results from this research were used to develop a web tool funded by USDA's Risk Management Agency (BeefBasis.com) that producers can use to forecast and understand feeder cattle basis.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Basis; Basis forecasts; Cattle prices; Feeder cattle; Hedging; Price risk management; Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42302
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INCORPORATING CURRENT INFORMATION INTO HISTORICAL-AVERAGE-BASED FORECASTS TO IMPROVE CROP PRICE BASIS FORECASTS AgEcon
Taylor, Mykel R.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Kastens, Terry L..
Being able to accurately predict basis is critical for making marketing and management decisions. Basis forecasts can be used along with futures prices to provide cash price projections. Additionally, basis forecasts are needed to evaluate hedging opportunities. Many studies have examined factors affecting basis but few have explicitly examined the ability to forecast basis. Studies have shown basis forecasts based on simple historical averages compare favorably with more complex forecasting models. However, these studies typically have considered only a 3-year historical average for forecasting basis. This research compares practical methods of forecasting basis for wheat, soybeans, corn, and milo (grain sorghum) in Kansas. Across most of the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19022
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INFLUENCE OF LAND TENURE ARRANGEMENTS ON GRAZING MANAGEMENT INCENTIVES AgEcon
May, Gary J.; Jones, Rodney D.; Langemeier, Michael R.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36442
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LINKAGES BETWEEN CROP INSURANCE AND PRE-HARVEST HEDGING AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Kastens, Terry L..
The impact pre-harvest hedging and crop insurance strategies have on expected revenue and associated risk as well as how producers' risk attitudes affect optimal strategies was analyzed for Kansas wheat farms. No insurance, Catastrophic (CAT), Actual Production History (APH), and Crop Revenue Coverage (CRC) were considered. Average revenue was similar across alternatives, but APH and CRC resulted in the least income variability. Risk reduction effects of hedging were small and the advantage of CRC over APH decreases as hedging increases. This historical study provides useful information; however, if future market conditions differ significantly from the past, optimal strategies may change.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Hedging; Revenue insurance; Risk management; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15133
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LIVESTOCK BASIS FORECASTS: HOW BENEFICIAL IS THE INCLUSION OF CURRENT INFORMATION? AgEcon
Tonsor, Glynn T.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Mintert, James R..
Successful risk management strategies for agribusiness firms are contingent on the ability to accurately forecast basis. There has been substantial research on the actual use of basis forecasts, yet little research has been conducted on actually forecasting basis. This study evaluates the effect incorporating current basis information into a historical-average-based-forecast has on forecasting accuracy when forecasting live cattle and feeder cattle basis. Furthermore, the optimal weight to place on this current information is evaluated in an out-of-sample framework. Root mean squared errors are generated for both commodities and evaluated to determine the significance of these issues. Results suggest that livestock basis forecasters should consider...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock prices; Hedging; Basis forecasts; Current information; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36022
Registros recuperados: 39
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