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Registros recuperados: 24
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AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION OF LIVE HOG DEMAND AgEcon
Parcell, Joseph L.; Mintert, James R.; Plain, Ronald L..
An inverse live hog demand model was estimated to analyze claims that the live hog own quantity demand flexibility's magnitude has increased in recent years. A second objective of this research was to estimate the impact changes in processing capacity utilization rates have on live hog prices. Iowa - Southern Minnesota barrow and gilt price was modeled as a function of average daily hog slaughter, a processing capacity utilization ratio, an index of processing and marketing costs, a retail demand shift index, pork cold storage stocks, and monthly binary variables. Results indicate that in recent years live hog prices have become more responsive to changes in hog slaughter. Additionally, changes in processing capacity utilization rates, at times, also have...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Live Hog Demand; Structural Change; Capacity Utilization; Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18939
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An Empirical Investigation of Live Hog Demand AgEcon
Parcell, Joseph L.; Mintert, James R.; Plain, Ronald L..
An inverse live hog demand model was estimated to analyze claims that the live hog own quantity demand flexibility's magnitude has increased in recent years. A second objective of this research was to estimate the impact changes in processing capacity utilization rates have on live hog prices. Results indicate that in recent years live hog prices have become more responsive to changes in hog slaughter, slaughter weight, and cold storage stocks. Additionally, changes in processing capacity utilization rates, at times, also have a relatively large impact on live hog prices. Finally, when the large live hog price decline that occurred during the fall of 1998 is examined, model results indicate that the sharp increase in processor's capacity utilization...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26042
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An Empirical Investigation of Live-Hog Demand AgEcon
Parcell, Joseph L.; Mintert, James R.; Plain, Ronald L..
An inverse live-hog model was estimated to analyze whether there has been a recent increase in the magnitude of live-hog, own-quantity demand flexibility. Estimating the impact of processing capacity-utilization rate changes on live-hog prices was a second objective of this research. Results indicate that live hog prices have become more responsive to changes in hog slaughter, slaughter weight, cold storage stocks, and changes in the processing capacity-utilization rate. Finally, model results indicate that the sharp increase in processing capacity-utilization rates, the increase in average dressed weight, and the increase in hog slaughter all had a negative effect on the live-hog prices.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Capacity utilization; Live hog demand; Structural change; Q11; Q12; Q13; D40.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43476
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ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING COW AUCTION PRICE DIFFERENTIALS AgEcon
Mintert, James R.; Blair, Joanne; Schroeder, Ted C.; Brazle, Frank.
Data from Kansas cattle auctions were analyzed to estimate the impact a wide variety of physical characteristics had upon cow prices. Weight, lot size, health, pregnancy, grade, dressing percent, breed, time of sale, and market location were important factors affecting the differences in cow prices across lots on a given day. Results suggest that producers interested in maximizing the price they receive for their cows should market healthy cows in desirable lot sizes at higher dressing percentages.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30011
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CALENDAR VS. WEEKS TO EXPIRATION LIVESTOCK BASIS FORECASTS: WHICH IS BETTER? AgEcon
Tonsor, Glynn T.; Khuyvetter, Kevin C.; Mintert, James R..
The ability to accurately forecast basis is crucial to risk management strategies employed by many agribusiness firms. Previous research has examined how to effectively use basis forecasts and what factors affect basis, but literature focusing on forecasting basis is sparse. This research evaluates the impact of adopting a time-to-expiration approach, as compared to the more common calendar approach, when forecasting feeder cattle, live cattle, and hog basis. Furthermore, the optimal number of past year's basis levels to include in making basis predictions is evaluated in an out-of-sample framework. Absolute basis forecasts errors are generated for all three commodities and evaluated to determine the signifcance of the two issues mentioned above....
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock prices; Basis; Hedging; Basis forecasts; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18978
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Consumers Valuations and Choice Processes of Food Safety Enhancement Attributes: An International Study of Beef Consumers AgEcon
Tonsor, Glynn T.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Pennings, Joost M.E.; Mintert, James R..
Food safety concerns have had dramatic impacts on food and livestock markets in recent years. Here we examine consumer preferences for various beef food safety assurances. In particular, we evaluate the extent to which such preferences are heterogeneous within and across country-of-residence defined groups and examine the distributional nature of these preferences with respect to marginal improvements in food safety. We collected data from over 4,000 U.S., Canada, Japan, and Mexican consumers. Using mixed logit models we find that Japanese and Mexican consumers have WTP preferences that are nonlinear in the level of food safety risk reduction. Conversely, U.S .and Canadian consumers appear to possess linear preferences. These results suggest that optimal...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Consumer beef preference; Food safety; Investment decision; Mixed logit; Willingness-to-pay; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9976
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Determinants of Cattle Feeding Profit and Cost of Gain Variability AgEcon
Schroeder, Ted C.; Albright, Martin L.; Langemeier, Michael R.; Mintert, James R..
Cattle feeders face risks from fluctuating fed cattle, feeder cattle, and feed prices and cattle performance. Closeout data on 7293 pens of steers are studied to determine the relative impacts of prices and animal performance on cattle feeding profits and cost of gain. Results indicate the importance of managing price risk.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118161
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DETERMINANTS OF CATTLE FINISHING PROFITABILITY AgEcon
Langemeier, Michael R.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Mintert, James R..
Data from a western Kansas feedlot were analyzed to estimate the quantitative impacts of price and performance variables on profits per head from finishing cattle. Sale prices, feeder prices, and corn prices had the most impact on profit variability over time. Differences in sale prices, feeder prices, and feed conversions were important in explaining the difference in steer and heifer profits over time. Results suggest that breakeven prices should be calculated for a range of fed cattle, feeder, and corn prices, and that these three variables need to be stochastic in representative farm modeling efforts.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1992 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29637
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Does Mandatory Reporting Provide Improved Information in Cattle Markets? (Power Point Presentation) AgEcon
Mintert, James R..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33346
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EXTENSION RESPONSE TO EVOLVING LIVESTOCK MARKETS AgEcon
Mintert, James R..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36331
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FACTORS AFFECTING FEEDER CATTLE PRICE DIFFERENTIALS AgEcon
Schroeder, Ted C.; Mintert, James R.; Brazle, Frank; Grunewald, Orlen C..
Feeder cattle prices are determined by the interaction of many factors. This study uses 1986 and 1987 Kansas feeder cattle auction data to investigate the impact of a wide variety of physical characteristics, many of which have not been used in previous studies on feeder cattle prices. Unlike previous studies, this analysis explicitly incorporates changes in feeder cattle market fundamentals during the data collection period and also allows price differentials to vary by sex and weight. Weight, weight-squared, lot size, lot size-squared, health, muscling, frame size, condition, fill, breed, presence of horns, and time of sale are significant factors affecting feeder cattle prices on any given day. Several physical traits also exhibit different seasonal...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32161
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Feed Grains and Livestock: Impacts on Meat Supplies and Prices AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Mintert, James R.; Anderson, John D.; Anderson, David P..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries; Q11.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94644
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Fundamental Forces Affecting Livestock Producers AgEcon
Lawrence, John D.; Mintert, James R..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Market Forces; Livestock Production; Porter’s Five Forces; Agribusiness; Livestock Production/Industries; L10; L22; L80; Q13.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/104212
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HEDGING FEEDER STEERS AND HEIFERS IN THE CASH-SETTLED FEEDER CATTLE FUTURES MARKET AgEcon
Shroeder, Ted C.; Mintert, James R..
Recent changes in the feeder cattle futures contract specifications are expected to reduce hedging risk and may result in changes in optimal hedging levels. This study provides an estimate of feeder cattle hedge ratios associated with the new cash-settled feeder cattle futures contract and compares the levels of hedging risk present under the cash settled contract with the physical delivery contract. Hedging risks are compared for several weights of feeder steers and heifers and are analyzed across four market locations. Results indicate that hedging risk is generally, though not always, lower with cash settlement than under the physical delivery contract specifications.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32119
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Improving Cattle Basis Forecasting AgEcon
Tonsor, Glynn T.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Mintert, James R..
Successful risk management strategies for agribusiness firms based on futures and options contracts are contingent on their ability to accurately forecast basis. This research addresses three primary questions as they relate to basis forecasting accuracy: (a) What is the impact of adopting a time-to-expiration approach, as compared to the more common calendar-date approach? (b) What is the optimal number of years to include in calculations when forecasting livestock basis using historical averages? and (c) What is the effect of incorporating current basis information into a historical-average-based forecast? Results indicate that use of the time-to-expiration approach has little impact on forecast accuracy compared to using a simple calendar approach, but...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Basis; Basis forecasts; Cattle prices; Current information; Hedging; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31115
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Improving Feeder Cattle Basis Forecasts AgEcon
Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Swanser, Kole; Kastens, Terry L.; Mintert, James R.; Crosby, Brett.
Forecasting feeder cattle basis has long been difficult because of the myriad factors that influence basis, including input and output prices and lot characteristics. This research draws upon knowledge of the various factors that influence cash feeder cattle prices to develop hedonic feeder cattle basis models. Out-of-sample test results provide strong evidence that these hedonic models predict basis more accurately than the multi-year average forecasting approach commonly used by livestock producers. Results from this research were used to develop a web tool funded by USDA's Risk Management Agency (BeefBasis.com) that producers can use to forecast and understand feeder cattle basis.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Basis; Basis forecasts; Cattle prices; Feeder cattle; Hedging; Price risk management; Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42302
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LIVESTOCK BASIS FORECASTS: HOW BENEFICIAL IS THE INCLUSION OF CURRENT INFORMATION? AgEcon
Tonsor, Glynn T.; Dhuyvetter, Kevin C.; Mintert, James R..
Successful risk management strategies for agribusiness firms are contingent on the ability to accurately forecast basis. There has been substantial research on the actual use of basis forecasts, yet little research has been conducted on actually forecasting basis. This study evaluates the effect incorporating current basis information into a historical-average-based-forecast has on forecasting accuracy when forecasting live cattle and feeder cattle basis. Furthermore, the optimal weight to place on this current information is evaluated in an out-of-sample framework. Root mean squared errors are generated for both commodities and evaluated to determine the significance of these issues. Results suggest that livestock basis forecasters should consider...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock prices; Hedging; Basis forecasts; Current information; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36022
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MERITS OF VALUE DISCOVERY ALTERNATIVES FOR FED CATTLE AND CARCASSES AgEcon
Ward, Clement E.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Wheeler, Tommy L.; Mintert, James R.; Drouillard, James.
Grid pricing is an increasingly popular method of pricing fed cattle. However, there are several issues related to grid pricing. This paper discusses those issues and alternatives both for base prices in grids and the premium-discount grids themselves. Included is information on the status of objective grading of carcasses.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35977
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THE IMPACTS OF QUALITY ON CASH FED CATTLE PRICES AgEcon
Jones, Rodney D.; Schroeder, Ted C.; Mintert, James R.; Brazle, Frank.
Quality factors affecting fed cattle prices were examined during a six-month period in southwestern Kansas. Transaction prices were significantly affected by the percentage of cattle expected to grade choice times the choice-to-select carcass price spread, finish uniformity, average weight, dressing percentage, breed, number of cattle purchased by a single packer on a given day, the packer, the feedyard, the day-of-the-week the cattle were sold, and the number of bids received. Asking prices were significantly affected by many of the same factors. Asking and transaction prices reflected approximately 25 percent of the packer value differentials for expected carcass quality grades.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1992 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29636
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THE NORTH AMERICAN LIVESTOCK INDUSTRY: A U.S. PERSPECTIVE AgEcon
Anderson, David P.; Mintert, James R.; Brester, Gary W..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16765
Registros recuperados: 24
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