|Wernstedt, Kris; Hersh, Robert.|
|Recent scientific and technical advances have increased the potential use of long-term seasonal climate forecasts for improving water resource management. This paper examines the role that forecasts, in particular those based on the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, can play in flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. While strong evidence of an association between ENSO signals and flooding in the region exists, this association is open to more than one interpretation depending on: a) the metric used to test the strength of the association; b) the definition of critical flood events; c) site-specific features of watersheds; and d) the characteristics of flood management institutions. A better understanding and appreciation of such ambiguities,...|
|Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper
||Palavras-chave: Flooding; Climate; ENSO; Water resources planning; Water policy; Water management; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q2.